We live in a world of worry. The ongoing Covid-19 pan­demic, having driven reversals in human development in almost every country, continues to spin off variants unpre­dictably. War in Ukraine and elsewhere has created more human suffering. Record-breaking temperatures, fires, storms and floods sound the alarm of planetary systems increasingly out of whack. Together, they are fuelling a cost-of-living crisis felt around the world, painting a pic­ture of uncertain times and unsettled lives.

Uncertainty is not new, but its dimensions are taking om­inous new forms today. A new “uncertainty complex” is emerging, never before seen in human history. Constitut­ing it are three volatile and interacting strands: the desta­bilizing planetary pressures and inequalities of the Anthro­pocene, the pursuit of sweeping societal transformations to ease those pressures and the widespread and intensi­fying polarization.

This new uncertainty complex and each new crisis it spawns are impeding human development and unsettling lives the world over. In the wake of the pandemic, and for the first time ever, the global Human Development Index (HDI) value declined—for two years straight. Many coun­tries experienced ongoing declines on the HDI in 2021. Even before the pandemic, feelings of insecurity were on the rise nearly everywhere. Many people feel alienated from their political systems, and in another reversal, dem­ocratic backsliding has worsened.

There is peril in new uncertainties, in the insecurity, polar­ization and demagoguery that grip many countries. But there is promise, too—an opportunity to reimagine our futures, to renew and adapt our institutions and to craft new stories about who we are and what we value. This is the hopeful path forward, the path to follow if we wish to thrive in a world in flux.


Human Development Reports 1990–2022
1990 Concept and Measurement of Human Development
1991 Financing Human Development
1992 Global Dimensions of Human Development
1993 People’s Participation
1994 New Dimensions of Human Security
1995 Gender and Human Development
1996 Economic Growth and Human Development
1997 Human Development to Eradicate Poverty
1998 Consumption for Human Development
1999 Globalization with a Human Face
2000 Human Rights and Human Development
2001 Making New Technologies Work for Human Development
2002 Deepening Democracy in a Fragmented World
2003 Millennium Development Goals: A Compact among Nations to End Human Poverty
2004 Cultural Liberty in Today’s Diverse World
2005 International Cooperation at a Crossroads: Aid, Trade and Security in an Unequal World
2006 Beyond Scarcity: Power, Poverty and the Global Water Crisis
2007/2008 Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World
2009 Overcoming Barriers: Human Mobility and Development
2010 The Real Wealth of Nations: Pathways to Human Development
2011 Sustainability and Equity: A Better Future for All
2013 The Rise of the South: Human Progress in a Diverse World