World is close to breaking 1.5C global heating
Publication year
Resource type
UNCCD Library
Material Type
news article
By Leon Lidigu
Health Reporter
Nation Media Group
What you need to know:
The United Kingdom’s Meteorological Office (Met Office) estimated that there is a 48 per cent chance that the average global temperature of any year between 2022 and 2026 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels while noting that for the previous five –year period (2017 to 2021), the chance, which is now 50-50, was less than 10 per cent.
Scientists now warn that the world will soon overshoot the 1.5C global heating limit set by international governments for the first time ever.
This is after the United Kingdom’s Meteorological Office (Met Office) estimated that there is a 48 per cent chance that the average global temperature of any year between 2022 and 2026 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels while noting that for the previous five –year period (2017 to 2021), the chance, which is now 50-50, was less than 10 per cent.
The revelations come after the Paris Agreement set an aim to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, which experts say is threshold that is seen as vital for limiting the most devastating impacts of global warming on human beings as well as the ecosystem. According to Leon Hermanson, an official from the Met Office who carried out the study, the prediction shows how close the world is to failing on its climate goals.
“It’s not a magic threshold, and things are not going to suddenly change,” he observes. “One year’s exceedance doesn’t mean anything; it just means that we’re getting closer and it’s a warning that we need to really double up on the efforts to cut carbon dioxide and reduce our use of fossil fuels.”
The expert further highlights that the reason the chance of temporarily hitting 1.5°C has increased is a combination of continued carbon emissions pushing Earth closer to the threshold, and new temperature data causing researchers to revise upwards their estimates of past warming since pre-industrial times. “ As human-induced climate change has driven average temperatures up, the chances of natural cycles such as El Niño pushing us over 1.5°C have increased.”
READ further from the source above
Health Reporter
Nation Media Group
What you need to know:
The United Kingdom’s Meteorological Office (Met Office) estimated that there is a 48 per cent chance that the average global temperature of any year between 2022 and 2026 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels while noting that for the previous five –year period (2017 to 2021), the chance, which is now 50-50, was less than 10 per cent.
Scientists now warn that the world will soon overshoot the 1.5C global heating limit set by international governments for the first time ever.
This is after the United Kingdom’s Meteorological Office (Met Office) estimated that there is a 48 per cent chance that the average global temperature of any year between 2022 and 2026 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels while noting that for the previous five –year period (2017 to 2021), the chance, which is now 50-50, was less than 10 per cent.
The revelations come after the Paris Agreement set an aim to limit global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, which experts say is threshold that is seen as vital for limiting the most devastating impacts of global warming on human beings as well as the ecosystem. According to Leon Hermanson, an official from the Met Office who carried out the study, the prediction shows how close the world is to failing on its climate goals.
“It’s not a magic threshold, and things are not going to suddenly change,” he observes. “One year’s exceedance doesn’t mean anything; it just means that we’re getting closer and it’s a warning that we need to really double up on the efforts to cut carbon dioxide and reduce our use of fossil fuels.”
The expert further highlights that the reason the chance of temporarily hitting 1.5°C has increased is a combination of continued carbon emissions pushing Earth closer to the threshold, and new temperature data causing researchers to revise upwards their estimates of past warming since pre-industrial times. “ As human-induced climate change has driven average temperatures up, the chances of natural cycles such as El Niño pushing us over 1.5°C have increased.”
READ further from the source above
Keywords
climate change
heat waves
global warming
greenhouse gases
fossil fuels